What is the best bet for Bahia vs Gremio?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is 'under 3.5' at odds of 1.41.

What are the latest odds for Bahia vs Gremio?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 1.72, Draw - 4.15, Away Win - 5.3.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for Bahia vs Gremio?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'under 3.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.41.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for Bahia vs Gremio?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is '1'. The available odds for this selection are 1.72.

What is the predicted final score for Bahia vs Gremio?

Our AI predicts a final score of 2:1.

What is the predicted halftime score for Bahia vs Gremio?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be .

What is the expected ball possession for Bahia vs Gremio?

Our AI predicts Bahia will have 57% possession, while Gremio will have 43% possession.

How many shots are expected in Bahia vs Gremio?

The total number of shots is expected to be 20, with Bahia taking 13 shots and Gremio taking 7 shots.

How many corners are predicted in Bahia vs Gremio?

The match is expected to have a total of 7 corners, with Bahia earning 6 corners and Gremio earning 1 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for Bahia vs Gremio?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 4 yellow cards. Bahia is projected to receive 2 yellow cards, while Gremio is expected to receive 2 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of Bahia before the match against Gremio?

The current estimated market value of Bahia is €114.35m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing Gremio.

What is the squad value of Gremio before the match against Bahia?

The current estimated market value of Gremio is €103.85m. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against Bahia.

How many goals are expected in the first half of Bahia vs Gremio?

Our AI predicts that the first half of Bahia vs Gremio will have a total of 0 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of .

How many total goals are expected in Bahia vs Gremio?

According to our AI prediction, the match between Bahia and Gremio is expected to have a total of 3 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 2:1.

Bahia vs Gremio Prediction

Finished

Brazil

Serie A

Bahia

€114.35m

17 May20:00

1 : 1

Gremio

€103.85m

Preview

Bahia vs Gremio prediction: calm night, tight score?

Mark your calendars for Sunday, 2026-05-17, because this Bahia vs Gremio prediction preview is all about a Série A meeting that could be decided by small details. Kick-off is set for 20:00 GMT (that’s 16:00 Brasília time / 19:00 UTC in the usual match listings), and the early betting odds make Bahia the clear favorite: Home win 1.72, Draw 4.15, Away win 5.3. If you like your football with a bit of tension and not too many fireworks, you might be in the right place.

Match overview and recent context

Bahia come into this one with the kind of confidence that makes a home crowd louder and an opponent’s passing a little riskier. The most recent head to head is still fresh in the mind too: on 2025-10-20, Bahia beat Grêmio 4-0, and the market had it fairly similar to today (Bahia were 1.722, Grêmio 4.4). Results like that don’t guarantee a repeat, but they do shape expectations in sports betting.

There’s also a reminder that Bahia can win ugly when needed. On 2025-10-05, they beat Flamengo 1-0 with huge odds of 5.5. That’s the kind of upset that tells you they can stay disciplined, take one chance, and lock the door.

Grêmio, meanwhile, have shown they can be stubborn away from home. On 2026-05-03, they held Athletico Paranaense to a 0-0 draw as big outsiders at 5.4. It wasn’t pretty, but “pretty” doesn’t pay out in betting slips—results do.

How this game may look on the pitch

From a tactical angle, the numbers point to Bahia controlling the rhythm, with Grêmio trying to stay compact and survive the early pressure. Bahia’s squad value is slightly higher at €114.35m versus Grêmio’s €104.15m, and the match projections lean toward the home side dictating play.

Possession: Bahia 57% vs Grêmio 43%
Shots: Bahia 13 vs Grêmio 7
Shots on target: Bahia 5 vs Grêmio 1
Corners: Bahia 6 vs Grêmio 1 (7 total)
Yellow cards: Bahia 2, Grêmio 2

That shot-on-target split is the big storyline: if Grêmio only test the keeper once, it’s hard to win anywhere, let alone in Salvador. On the other hand, if Grêmio turn this into a low-event match (like they did on the road earlier this month), they can make the home price at 1.72 feel a little uncomfortable for bettors.

Bahia vs Gremio prediction and best betting tips

Now to the numbers that matter for your bet slip. Our models point to a match where Bahia edge it, but without a goal party. In other words: think controlled, not chaotic.

Main markets: 1X2 and goals

1X2 betting odds: Home 1.72 | Draw 4.15 | Away 5.3
NerdyTips AI best 1X2 bet: Home win (1) at 1.72, trust score 4.3
Best goals tip: Under 3.5 goals at 1.41, trust rating 5.3/10
Under/Over prediction: Under 3.5 goals, confidence 5.3, odds 1.41

The logic connects nicely: Bahia are projected to have more of the ball, more shots, and far more shots on target. That supports the “1” pick in the Bahia vs Gremio prediction. But the under 3.5 is also consistent: even if Bahia create 13 shots, that doesn’t automatically mean four goals—especially against a Grêmio side that has recently shown it can play for a low score away from home.

Correct score lean

Final score prediction: Bahia 2-1 Grêmio
Half-time score: Bahia 1-0 Grêmio

A 2-1 result fits almost everything we see: Bahia on top for long spells, Grêmio hanging around, and the under 3.5 still landing. The fun part? If Bahia lead 1-0 at the break, the second half becomes a classic bettor’s stress test: “Do we get the calm finish… or the late equalizer that ruins everyone’s weekend?” Either way, for sports betting purposes, the safest story remains goals on the low side.

Bahia vs Gremio prediction: calm night, tight score?

Match overview and recent context

How this game may look on the pitch

Possession: Bahia 57% vs Grêmio 43%
Shots: Bahia 13 vs Grêmio 7
Shots on target: Bahia 5 vs Grêmio 1
Corners: Bahia 6 vs Grêmio 1 (7 total)
Yellow cards: Bahia 2, Grêmio 2

Bahia vs Gremio prediction and best betting tips

Now to the numbers that matter for your bet slip. Our models point to a match where Bahia edge it, but without a goal party. In other words: think controlled, not chaotic.

Main markets: 1X2 and goals

1X2 betting odds: Home 1.72 | Draw 4.15 | Away 5.3
NerdyTips AI best 1X2 bet: Home win (1) at 1.72, trust score 4.3
Best goals tip: Under 3.5 goals at 1.41, trust rating 5.3/10
Under/Over prediction: Under 3.5 goals, confidence 5.3, odds 1.41

Correct score lean

Final score prediction: Bahia 2-1 Grêmio
Half-time score: Bahia 1-0 Grêmio

AI Predictions

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Bahia vs Gremio

U3.5 -244

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -244

5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -139

Bahia is expected to win with odds of -139

4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -244

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match

5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -128

Both teams are expected to score

1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -233

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals

6/10

Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.34

0.67

57%

Ball Possession

43%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Yellow Cards

Average / Match

1.28

Expected Goals

1.01

3.4

Total Goals

1.1

1.4

Goals Scored

0.7

Goals Against

0.4

58%

Possession

57%

13.2

Total Shots

11.6

5.6

Shots on Goal

3.3

4.7

Shots off Goal

5.1

12.9

Fouls

12.2

6.3

Corners

3.5

2.1

Offsides

1.6

1.9

Yellow Cards

2.3

483

Total Passes

437

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

8 - 8 - 14

Gremio	^25-May-25 1:0	Bahia
Gremio	^17-Aug-24 0:2	Bahia
Gremio	^12-Jul-23 1:1	Bahia
Gremio	^04-Nov-23 1:0	Bahia
Gremio	^16-Oct-22 1:1	Bahia
Gremio	^21-Aug-21 2:0	Bahia
Gremio	^06-Jan-21 2:1	Bahia
Gremio	^05-Jun-11 2:0	Bahia
Gremio	^05-Aug-12 3:1	Bahia
Gremio	^03-Nov-13 0:0	Bahia

Recent Matches of Bahia

30 May	W	Bahia	2	Botafogo	1
26 May	L	Coritiba	3	Bahia	2
17 May	D	Bahia	1	Gremio	1
14 May	L	Remo	2	Bahia	1
10 May	L	Bahia	1	Cruzeiro	2
03 May	D	Sao Paulo	2	Bahia	2
25 Apr	D	Bahia	2	Santos	2
22 Apr	L	Bahia	1	Remo	3
19 Apr	L	Flamengo	2	Bahia	0
11 Apr	W	Mirassol	1	Bahia	2

Recent Matches Of Gremio

30 May	L	Gremio	1	Corinthians	3
26 May	D	Gremio	2	Torque	2
23 May	W	Gremio	3	Santos	2
21 May	W	Gremio	2	Palestino	0
17 May	D	Bahia	1	Gremio	1
14 May	W	Confianca	0	Gremio	3
10 May	L	Gremio	0	Flamengo	1
05 May	W	Deportivo R	0	Gremio	3
03 May	D	Atletico P	0	Gremio	0
30 Apr	D	Palestino	0	Gremio	0

Brazil - Serie A

	Team	M	G	P
1	Palmeiras	17	29-13	38
2	Flamengo	16	28-16	31
3	Fluminense	17	27-22	30
4	Atletico	17	23-18	27
5	RB Bragantino	17	22-18	26
6	Coritiba	17	24-21	26
7	Sao Paulo	17	23-19	25
8	Bahia	16	23-22	23
9	Cruzeiro	17	23-27	23
10	Botafogo	16	30-29	22
11	Vitoria	16	20-22	22
12	Atletico-MG	17	21-23	21
13	Internacional	17	20-19	21
14	Gremio	17	19-20	21
15	Corinthians	17	15-18	21
16	Vasco DA Gama	17	22-28	20
17	Santos	17	23-28	18
18	Mirassol	16	18-23	16
19	Remo	17	20-29	15
20	Chapecoense-sc	16	17-32	9

Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia vs Gremio prediction: calm night, tight score?

Match overview and recent context

How this game may look on the pitch

Bahia vs Gremio prediction and best betting tips

Main markets: 1X2 and goals

Correct score lean

Bahia vs Gremio prediction: calm night, tight score?

Match overview and recent context

How this game may look on the pitch

Bahia vs Gremio prediction and best betting tips

Main markets: 1X2 and goals

Correct score lean

Best Tip

1x2 Tip

Total Goals

Both Teams To Score

Bet Builder Tip

Correct Score

Stats Predictions

Average / Match

Overview Last 10 Matches

Head to Head

Latest Matches

Recent Matches of Bahia

Recent Matches Of Gremio

Brazil - Serie A

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