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16 May18:00
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Basaksehir

€72.10m

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Gaziantep FK vs Basaksehir Prediction Süper Lig

Gaziantep FK vs Basaksehir prediction for May 16, 2026

The Gaziantep FK vs Basaksehir prediction for Saturday, 2026-05-16 (kickoff 18:00 GMT) lands at a moment when both teams still have something to say about their season. It’s Round 34, it’s at Gaziantep Stadium, and while the table gap is real, Süper Lig games have a habit of ignoring polite expectations.

How the game may look before the prediction and odds

Basaksehir arrive sitting 6th with 54 points, scoring 56 and conceding 34, so the mood is clearly “Europe or bust.” Gaziantep, 12th with 37 points (42 scored, 56 conceded), are safer than they are glamorous, but they can still finish with pride—especially at home, where the crowd doesn’t accept quiet afternoons.

Form explains why the visitors are priced as favorites in the betting odds. Gaziantep’s recent run (D-L-W-L-L) has been uneven, with losses to Göztepe (2-1), Beşiktaş (2-0) and Eyüpspor (3-0), although that 3-0 win over Kayserispor showed they can still bite when the rhythm is right. Basaksehir’s sequence (D-W-D-W-L) is healthier, and 9 goals in their last five matches includes a very loud 4-0 over Kasımpaşa—one of those wins that makes opponents check their defensive spacing twice.

Tactically, Basaksehir have leaned into a lively front line. Eldor Shomurodov has been central and sharp, and with names like Bertuğ Yıldırım, Davie Selke, and Ivan Brnic also popping up on the scoresheet, they can attack in waves rather than in single-file. Behind them, Jerome Opoku and Léo Duarte give the structure that keeps things from turning into a track meet.

Gaziantep’s hopes often circle around Mohamed Bayo, who has had stretches where he looks like he could score off a loose shoelace. Drissa Camara tends to be the one pulling the trigger most, while Nihad Mujakic is important when the game gets messy—because it usually does. One worry for the hosts is availability: Salem M’Bakata and Ali Mevran Ablak are long-term absences, while Yusuf Kabadayi and goalkeeper Burak Bozan have been reported with issues too. Basaksehir, by comparison, look close to full strength, with only a small question mark around Hamza Güreler.

There’s also a fun twist in the head to head: in the most recent meeting (2024-11-23), Gaziantep beat Basaksehir 3-0. And both sides have shown they can frustrate giants away from home—Gaziantep drawing 1-1 at Galatasaray in January 2026 (odds 13.5), and Basaksehir drawing 2-2 there in January 2025 (odds 6.5). So yes, surprises are on the menu, even if they’re not the chef’s special.

AI picks, sports betting angles, and predicted score

Let’s bring the NerdyTips numbers into the story. The market betting odds currently read: Home win 3.9, Draw 3.9, Away win 1.9, which fits the squad-value gap (€30.00m vs €72.10m) and Basaksehir’s European push. Our Gaziantep FK vs Basaksehir prediction also leans away: the 1X2 call is 2 with trust 3.6 and odds 1.9.

The top AI best tip is the safer lane: X2 (Basaksehir win or draw) at odds 1.32, confidence 4.5/10. That moderate confidence makes sense when you remember Gaziantep’s ability to randomly turn into a brick wall—usually right when your coupon needs them not to.

Game flow forecast

  • Predicted final score: 1-2 (first half: 0-1)
  • Possession: Gaziantep 43% vs Basaksehir 57%
  • Shots: 12 vs 15 (on target: 3 vs 5)
  • Corners: 8 total (4-4)
  • Yellow cards: Gaziantep 2, Basaksehir 1

Goal markets look a little cautious too. The model points to under 3.5 goals at odds 1.7, though confidence is only 2.0/10—basically a polite reminder that Basaksehir have been scoring freely, but away games can still get sticky. If you’re thinking sports betting rather than just picking a winner, that’s why X2 feels like the most stable read: it matches the possession edge, the shot edge, and Basaksehir’s stronger baseline quality, while respecting Gaziantep’s habit of making life difficult at home.

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AI Predictions
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Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Basaksehir

X2 -313

Basaksehir to win or draw with odds of -313
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 -111

Basaksehir is expected to win with odds of -111
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -109

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -256

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -169

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.18
xG
1.85
43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.36
Expected Goals
1.62
3.2
Total Goals
2.8
1.2
Goals Scored
1.6
2
Goals Against
1.2
46%
Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
14.7
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.3
5.4
Shots off Goal
6.3
12.9
Fouls
11.1
4.9
Corners
4.2
1.4
Offsides
1.6
2.1
Yellow Cards
2
377
Total Passes
415

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
7
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Gaziantep FK
4 - 1 - 10
Basaksehir
Basaksehir Basaksehir 22-Dec-25
5:1
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Basaksehir 20-Apr-25
2:1
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Basaksehir 07-Oct-23
2:0
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Basaksehir 30-May-23
3:0
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Basaksehir 12-Feb-22
2:0
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Basaksehir 13-Dec-20
1:2
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Basaksehir 15-Dec-13
4:0
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Basaksehir 02-Mar-20
3:1
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 23-Nov-24
3:0
Basaksehir Basaksehir

Profile time Recent Matches of Gaziantep FK

16 MayL Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1 Basaksehir Basaksehir 2
09 MayL Goztepe Goztepe 2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1
01 MayL Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0 Besiktas Besiktas 2
25 AprL Eyupspor Eyupspor 3 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0
20 AprW Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0
13 AprL Rizespor Rizespor 2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1
04 AprD Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1
17 MarL Fenerbahce Fenerbahce 4 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1
13 MarW Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 4
08 MarD Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1 Karagumruk Karagumruk 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of Basaksehir

16 MayWGaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1 Basaksehir Basaksehir 2
09 MayWBasaksehir Basaksehir 3 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0
02 MayLFenerbahce Fenerbahce 3 Basaksehir Basaksehir 1
24 AprWBasaksehir Basaksehir 4 Kasimpasa Kasimpasa 0
19 AprDTrabzonspor Trabzonspor 1 Basaksehir Basaksehir 1
11 AprWBasaksehir Basaksehir 3 Genclerbirligi Genclerbirligi 0
06 AprDKocaelispor Kocaelispor 0 Basaksehir Basaksehir 0
18 MarDBasaksehir Basaksehir 0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0
14 MarLGalatasaray Galatasaray 3 Basaksehir Basaksehir 0
07 MarWBasaksehir Basaksehir 2 Goztepe Goztepe 1

Turkey - Süper Lig Turkey - Süper Lig

Team M G P
1 GalatasarayGalatasaray3377-2977
2 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe3374-3473
3 TrabzonsporTrabzonspor3361-3669
4 BeşiktaşBeşiktaş3357-3859
5 GöztepeGöztepe3342-2955
6 BaşakşehirBaşakşehir3356-3454
7 SamsunsporSamsunspor3343-4548
8 RizesporRizespor3344-5040
9 KonyasporKonyaspor3342-4840
10 AlanyasporAlanyaspor3340-3937
11 KocaelisporKocaelispor3326-3737
12 Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK3342-5637
13 EyüpsporEyüpspor3330-4532
14 KasımpaşaKasımpaşa3332-4932
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği3333-4731
16 AntalyasporAntalyaspor3332-5529
17 Fatih KaragümrükFatih3329-5327
18 KayserisporKayserispor3325-6127
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